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Belenenses vs Guimarães Predictions today and Betting Tips

Read all of our free predictions, team analysis and betting tips for Belenenses vs Guimarães


Betting prediction:

Due to the difference in technical quality between the two teams, in individual and collective terms, a match dominated in possession and initiative by Vitória de Guimarães, against a Belenenses more focused on their defensive tasks, is foreseen, because even a single point will always be positive for the Petit team against a European competition’s candidate. Thus, it is expected that the match will be somewhat tactically locked and without many clear opportunities for goal, even due to the defensive consistency that the Guimarães squad have shown recently.

Betting tip

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Under 2,5 goals

Odd 1.71

Match preview

Belenenses and Vitória Guimarães face at Campo da Liberdade, in a match for the 18th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 18‑09‑2020, Belenenses got an away win by (0‑1). The head‑to‑head history indicates total balance, since there is a record of 3 draws and 3 wins for each team in the last 9 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis of Belenenses

After 3 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 12th position, havinf won 16 points so far. In the last match, they have tied at home against Porto by (0‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (2‑0) an away match against Santa Clara. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 7 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 11 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 9 home league matches Belenenses has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 27 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). Their offense hasn’t been one of their best features, as they haven’t scored any goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 4 of the last 17 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 3 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 3. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 17 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 12 goals between minutes (31’‑45′).

The Belenenses team has had a relatively balanced season in the fight for maintenance, reaching the first round of the second turn of the Portuguese championship in the 13th place in the overall leaderboard, with the same 16 points as Gil Vicente and Rio Ave , two above the relegation zone. After two defeats in a row, against Benfica (3-0, away, in the Portuguese Cup) and Santa Clara (2-0, away, in the championship), the team led by Petit managed, this Thursday, to challenge the odds and leave with a point from the reception to the national champion FC Porto, with whom they ended up drawing 0-0, the result of a very successful performance in defensive terms.

Confirmed Lineup: Stanislav Kritsyuk, Henrique, Rúben Lima, Tomás Ribeiro, Gonçalo Silva, Sphephelo Sithole, Silvestre Varela, Miguel Cardoso, Tiago Esgaio, Thibang Phete, Mateo Cassierra, Petit.

Analysis of Guimarães

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 9 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Marítimo, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Benfica, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 8 away matches. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 0‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 4 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

The Vitória de Guimarães team has managed to make a campaign within their expectations of fighting to qualify for European competitions and reaches the 18th round in the 6th place of the leaderboard, with 30 points, four behind Benfica and Paços de Ferreira, at a stage when the “vimaranenses” have a one less match played. Last Friday, the team coached by coach João Henriques reached their fifth consecutive match without losing, when they tied in the visit to favorite Benfica (0-0). A match where Vitória conceded some opportunities, but ended up succeeding defensively in the second half, confirming the third consecutive match without a single goal conceded.

Confirmed Lineup: Bruno Varela, Jorge Fernandes, Abdul Mumin, Falaye Sacko, Gideon Mensah, André Almeida, Ricardo Quaresma, Alhassan Wakaso, Pepelu, Ruben Lameiras, Oscar Estupiñan.

Betting tip

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Under 2,5 goals

Odd 1.71

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