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Botafogo vs Grêmio Predictions today and Betting Tips

Read all of our free predictions, team analysis and betting tips for Botafogo vs Grêmio


Betting prediction:

Botafogo wants a good result in this round, so it’s important they impose themselves. The visiting team won’t be able to make mistakes, so they should play smart. We see the visiting team as favorites, therefore, we will bet on the victory of Grêmio at the end of the match.

Betting tip

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Grêmio wins

Odd 1.57

Match preview

Botafogo and Grêmio face at Estádio Nilton Santos, in a match for the 35th round of the Serie A. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 14‑10‑2020, Grêmio got a home win by (3‑1). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 12‑06‑2019, in a match for the Serie A, Grêmio won by (0‑1). The only goal of the match was scored by Jean Pyerre (81′ ). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis of Botafogo

After 4 wins, 12 draws and 18 losses, the home team is in the 20th position, havinf won 24 points so far. In the last match, they have lost at home against Sport Recife by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against Palmeiras. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses at their stadium. For the league, Botafogo won 5 points out of 30 possible points, after 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses in the last 10 home matches.

They have lost the last 7 home matches and haven’t won any of the last 9 home matches for this competition. There are a few recurrent results in their home league matches at half‑time: 0‑1 (6 out of 17 matches) and 0‑0 (7 out of 17 matches). They haven’t been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 20 of their 34 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

The Brazilian championship is coming to an end, and if Botafogo comes for this round experiencing all this, it’s because of what they presented throughout the season. They’re paying a high price for the mistakes they have made and now it’s no use regretting. In relation to their next match, they know they won’t have facilities in front of Grêmio, as the gauchos have a high quality squad. Therefore, to have a chance to score, they will have to play well and without mistakes.

Analysis of Grêmio

The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 53 points won, after 12 wins, 17 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Coritiba, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Santos, by (3‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 11 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Grêmio has a record of 2 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (6 out of 17 matches) and 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches) and after the 90′ 1‑1 (6 out of 17 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 13 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

The drop in the performance of Grêmio in this final stretch of the championship was absurd, and to say that is not an exaggeration. The tricolor arrived for this match without winning in seven rounds, which caused them to lose positions on the league table. Now, with the competition coming to an end, they have to look for better results so as not to risk losing more positions. Therefore, in the face of a weakened Botafogo, they have to enter the field to win.

Betting tip

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Grêmio wins

Odd 1.57

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