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Council Cittadella Brescia
Match preview and best betting tip:
Based on the motivations and quality of the two teams, an open game with scoring opportunities at both posts is expected. The home team must take the reins of the game and have the best scoring opportunities, as they have a more competent team at different times of the game. On the other hand, the visitors must bet on the individuals to win Cittadella and proceed to the next round. It should be noted that in the last three years these teams have met Cittadella six times, adding two victories and the remaining draws. That said and taking this analysis into account, betting on “more than 2 goals” is an option with a positive expected value.
Handicap, more than 2 goals
Cittadella and Brescia meet at the Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in a match for matchday 0 of Serie B. The history of direct matches played at this stadium indicates a balance between these two teams, as there have been 2 draws and 1 victory for each. team in the last 4 games. However, in their last meeting at this stadium, in a Serie B match, on 04‑10‑2020, Cittadella won by (3‑0). Cittadella’s goals were scored by F. Tsadjout (74 ‘), C. D’Urso (59’) and M. Gargiulo (90 ‘). It is necessary to analyze with special attention the condition at home / away, since Cittadella presents different results at home and abroad.
The home team managed to access this decisive phase of Serie B (Promotion Play-offs – Qualification Phase), after the sixth position reached in the previous phase, in which they achieved a total of 57 points. This is a team affected by the home factor, which is stronger when it plays against its fans, since in the last 30 games it has registered 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses as a visitor, with 15 goals scored and 16 received, against 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses at home, with 17 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 10 home games for the championship, Cittadella has registered 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses, having earned 14 points out of 30 possible. In their home league matches, the most frequent scorer at half-time was 0‑0 (9 out of 19 matches). The team has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition, so they haven’t been very strong defensively. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 13 of the last 19 matches have ended with Under 2.5 goals. In 38 games in this competition he suffered the first goal 16 times and only managed 1 return on the scoreboard.
Cittadella comes to this match with a draw, at 1×1, against Venzia, in a match that counts for the thirty-eighth matchday of the second Italian league. Enrico Baldini scored the home side’s goal in the 50th minute.
In this match against Brescia, coach Roberto Venturato will have to appear in a 4-3-3, favoring the defensive organization and positional attacks. The three most advanced players responsible for jeopardizing the defensive structure are Frank Tsadjout, Roberto Ogunseye and Enrico Baldini. In turn, the central corridor must be formed by Christian D’Urso, Nicola Pavan and Mario Gargiulo. Right-back Tommaso Cassandro is the only confirmed casualty for this game due to injury.
The visiting team managed to access this decisive phase of Serie B (Promotion Playoffs – Qualifying Phase), after the 8th position won in the previous phase, in which they achieved a total of 56 points. This is a team that maintains its performance when it plays outside its stadium, since in the last 30 games it has registered 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses as a visitor; against 8 victories, 2 draws and 5 defeats in his stadium. In the last 10 away games, Brescia have registered 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, having won 15 points out of 30 possible. The team allowed goals to the rival in 7 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive strength, but its attack has scored regularly, since it managed to specify in 9 of the last 10 matches of this competition. In 38 games in this competition he suffered the first goal 16 times and only managed 2 laps on the scoreboard.
Brescia come to this match with confidence after a 2-0 win against Monza AC, in the match of the thirty-eighth matchday of the second Italian league. Florian Ayé and Massimiliano Mangraviti scored the “goals” of the win.
The team led by Pep Clotet must align in the usual tactical system the 4-3-3 to take advantage of the lateral corridors and the breaking movements to reach the goal areas. Alfredo Donnarumma, Birkir Bjarnason and Florian Ayé must be the offensive referents of the visiting team. In turn, the central corridor must be made up of Dimitri Bisoli, Tom van de Looi and Emanuele Ndoj. The visiting coach apparently cannot count on injured Nikola Ninkovic, Andrea Ghezzi and Luca Pandolfi.
Handicap, more than 2 goals