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Luzern vs Lugano Predictions & Betting Tips

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Betting prediction:

Facing a critical moment, Luzern should take advantage of playing at home to assume a declared offensive stance, which may allow it to break Lugano’s defensive organization, at the same time that it should end up leaving some spaces behind its defense that Jacobacci’s team can take advantage of in the counterattack. A draw will not satisfy any of the teams, so an electrifying match is expected until the end and with several goal opportunities overall.

Betting tip

Over 2,5 goals

Odd 1.76

Match preview

Luzern and Lugano face at swissporarena, in a match for the 15th round of the Super League. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 19‑09‑2020, Lugano got a home win by (2‑1). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 10 head‑to‑heads they won 5, tied 1 and lost 4. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Super League, on 12‑07‑2020, they tied (3‑3). P. Schürpf (77′ and 61′ ) and F. Margiotta (69′ ) scored for Luzern and S. Lovric (23′ ), F. Holender (47′ ) and N. Lavanchy (15′ ) for Lugano. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Luzern

The home team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 13 points won, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Lausanne Sport, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Basel, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 22 conceded. They come to this match after a away loss against Zürich by (3‑1). For the league, Luzern won 7 points out of 21 possible points, after 1 win, 4 draws and 2 losses in the last 7 home matches. They haven’t been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 14 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 7 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (61’‑75′); they have suffered 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (16’‑30′).

Luzern has stood out for the negative in this edition of the Swiss Superliga so far, where they entered with the ambition to fight for a spot in the European competitions and after 16 matches the team is in the 9th and penultimate place of the classification table, with only 16 points. The team coached by Fabio Celestini has had great difficulty in achieving the results expected in the last matches, in a bad moment that comes from before the interruption of the Superliga, last December. After returning to action with an expressive triumph against Servette (3-0), Luzern came out defeated, this Sunday, again against Servette, this time away, by 4-2. Schaub (8’) and Schulz (75’) goals would be of little use.

Analysis of Lugano

The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 4 wins, 8 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Sion, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Young Boys, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 11 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 13 conceded. In the last 7 away league matches Lugano has a record of 1 win and 6 draws, so they have won 9 points out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 draws in the last away matches and they haven’t lost any of the last 7 away matches. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 8 of their 13 goals between minutes (31’‑45′).

The Lugano team entered this edition of the Swiss championship more concerned with securing a place of maintenance among the country’s football elite than fighting for something more. The truth is that, with 17 matches played, the formation technically guided by Maurizio Jacobacci appears with a record of 25 points and occupying the 3rd place in the leaderboard, just behind Young Boys and Basel. In the middle of last week, Lugano reached the third consecutive match without losing and the second draw of the last two matches. It was at the reception to Vaduz (1-1), where the added point ended up being short, given that Lugano conceded early in the match (2′), but quickly reached the tie (by Gerndt, at 22′), and ended up wasting a few occasions to complete the turnaround.

Betting tip

Over 2,5 goals

Odd 1.76

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