Mainz 05 vs Dortmund Predictions and Tips

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Mainz 05 logo

Mainz 05

Dortmund logo

Match preview and best betting tip:

This game puts on the field two teams that come to this round very motivated and that is why a very balanced game with scoring chances is expected. On the one hand, Borussia Dortmund has a quality squad, on the other, a very dangerous Mainz 05 on the counterattack. Another important fact is the high average of goals conceded by the teams in these conditions. That said, and taking into account all these factors, betting in favor of the “Plus 3 Goals” market is a good option.

Betting tip

Handicap, more than 3 goals

Odd 1.70


Mainz and Borussia Dortmund meet at OPEL ARENA, in a match for the 33rd round of the Bundesliga. The two teams tied (1‑1), on 16‑01‑2021, the last time they met in this league edition. The history of direct matches played at this stadium favors the away team, which in the last 4 matches won 3 and drew 1. In fact, in the last match at this stadium, in a Bundesliga match, on 14‑12‑2019 Borussia Dortmund only managed to win, by (0‑4). The goals of the match were scored by N. Schulz (84 ‘), T. Hazard (69’), J. Sancho (66 ‘) and M. Reus (32’) for Borussia Dortmund. It is necessary to pay special attention to the condition at home / away, as Mainz presents different results at home and away.

Mainz 05 Team Analysis

The home team is currently in 12th position, with 36 points won, after 9 wins, 9 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied at home with Hertha BSC by (1‑1). In the last match, they drew (1‑1) against Eintracht Frankfurt. This is a team that, curiously, has been stronger away than at home, since in the last 30 games they have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses as a visitor; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in his stadium. For the league, Mainz won 14 points out of a possible 30 points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 home games. The team allowed goals to its rival in 7 of the last 10 matches, so it has not presented great defensive strength, but its attack has scored regularly, since it managed to specify in 8 of the last 10 matches of this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, as 11 of the last 16 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2.5 goals. In 32 matches in this competition he suffered the first goal 15 times and only managed 1 return on the scoreboard. There are 2 periods that stand out in the last 16 home matches for this competition: they have scored 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (31 ‘- 45’); He conceded 9 of his 23 goals between minutes (76 ‘- 90’).

Mainz 05 enters this game after a 1-1 draw on the trip to Eintracht Frankfurt, thus adding to the excellent run of nine straight games without losing in this Bundesliga: the only goal of the team was signed by Karim Onisiwo. The local team usually plays in a traditional 3-4-3, favoring fast transitions and attacks on the wings. In this drawing, the three most advanced men will be Jonathan Burkardt, Robin Qualon and Karim Onisiwo, the latter being very competent in the completion. Coach Bo Svensson cannot use Luca Kilian due to physical problems.

Dortmund analysis

The visiting team is currently in 4th position, with 58 points won, after 18 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they won away from Wolfsburg by (0‑2). In the last match, they beat RB Leipzig at home by (3‑2). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games it has registered 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses away, with a total of 32 goals. they scored and 24 conceded. At home, he had 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with a total of 34 goals scored and 20 conceded. In their last match, with DFB Pokal, they beat RB Leipzig by (1‑4). In the last 10 away games for the championship, Borussia Dortmund has registered 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, having won 13 points out of 30 possible. His attack has scored regularly, having scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches in this competition. There is a tendency towards goals in their away matches, as 15 of the last 16 in this competition have ended with Over 1.5 goals. In 32 games in this competition he suffered the first goal 14 times and only managed 4 laps on the scoreboard.

Borussia Dortmund comes to this game highly motivated after a great victory, 1-4, against RB Leipzig, in a match that counts for the German Cup: the team’s goals were scored by Erling Haaland (2) and Jadon Sancho ( two) . On the last day of the Bundesliga, the visitors beat RB Leipzig 3-2. The visiting club usually plays 4-3-3, favoring a more leisurely style of play, where the most advanced players are Jadon Sancho, Marco Reus and Erling Haaland: the latter is the best scorer with 25 goals scored. Coach Edin Terzic will be without Mahmoud Dahoud, Marwin Hitz, Mateu Morey, Youssoufa Moukoko and Axel Witsel due to physical problems.

Betting tip

Handicap, more than 3 goals

Odd 1.70

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