Foot Predictions shows the Serie A clash on Sunday between Benevento and Roma, including hunches, preview and possible lineups.
Seeking a third victory in just over a week, Pomegranate travel out of shape Benevento on Sunday, when two very different clubs face each other at the Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Domestic and continental successes, over Udinese and Braga, boosted the morale of the giallorossi after yet another major defeat against a title contender, so they will be the favorites before the opening whistle in Campania.
Completely completing his reintegration into the group, former Roma captain Edin Dzeko scored the first goal on Thursday night, with his team taking a two-goal lead in the Europa League first leg, in the last 32 games, against Braga, who dispute the championship.
Having fouled with the coach Paulo Fonseca last month, the bosnian shooter looked like he was about to leave the club that served so well during the transfer window, but a possible move to Inter failed and Dzeko got back on track when he entered Leonardo SpinazzolaI need a cross to help Roma put their foot in the round of 16.
Fonseca’s strategy of hiring Spanish stars as Borja Mayoral and Gonzalo Villar in the continental competition of the second division of Europe it served to offer them a valuable game experience, while some of the veterans of Giallorossi had a beneficial rest in the middle of the week.
A lot has changed since the autumn group campaign, as both Mayoral and Villar used this platform to move up the ranks, at the expense of Dzeko and the injured winger Pedro.
The two younger men lined up for the 3-0 ban from the capital’s Udinese club last Sunday, although Pedro took the opportunity to score a goal in the bench bench additions and any combination of talent that goes into the field against Benevento at this timeout will hope to hay one of Serie A’s most defensive defenses.
Not only the form, but the precedent is strongly in favor of Roma before the kickoff of Sunday night, as they won each of the previous three games in the first division of the two clubs, with an aggregate score of 14-4 and at least four goals stolen in each encounter. In addition, the Giallorossi are the team that have won the most consecutive games against recently promoted teams in Serie A history – currently 26 – and have scored remarkably in 53 consecutive league games against such opponents.
In the face of such overwhelming statistics, and although the total points still exceed expectations at this stage of the campaign, Benevento, the Serie B champion, has been fighting since the turn of the year and has not won for six consecutive games.
Trying to get out of the downward spiral this weekend, the Streghe drew 1-1 with Bologna the last time – having recorded the same result against Sampdoria in the previous game – and suffered as a result of conceding many goals recently. In that six-game no-win period, Pippo InzaghiThe team’s team lost 16 goals in an average of more than two and a half per game.
Always keeping an eye on the attack, Benevento, unsurprisingly, holds the third worst defensive record in Serie A, with 42 goals conceded in total – only Parma and Crotone left more. A bad start to the year, therefore, contributed to a total of just 10 points in 11 games, with the last win taking place in late December against Genoa.
Sinking to 15th place as a result, Inzaghi’s men are still nine points ahead of the relegation zone, but they must begin to contain the drop in form if they are to avoid a scrap of survival in the spring.
Although their defensive weaknesses are nothing new, it is a previously powerful attack where the team in Campania is now lacking. Both Gianluca Lapadula and forward companion Gianluca Caprari he enjoyed a good form following in the fall, but his supply of goals has dried up seriously in recent weeks.
Scorer Caprari, a former Roma player, had already scored three goals against his former Serie A team – including one in the reverse game, which ended with a 5-2 rout for Paulo Fonseca’s team last October. Having missed the target in the last three matches, however, the Roma-born striker would love to prove himself against the club where his career began.
Benevento Serie A Form: LLDLDD
Roma Serie A Form: DLWWLW
Roma form (all competitions): LWWLWW
All news from the teams
Roma could have only one senior defender available this weekend, after losing Bryan Cristante and Roger Ibanez the injury during the Europa League match for Braga. Cristante limped with just 10 minutes to play and is unlikely to recover in time, while Ibanez had to be replaced in the second half due to a thigh injury.
Causing serious defensive headache for Paulo Fonseca, other options Chris Smalling, Marash Kumbulla, Davide Santon and Riccardo Calafiori are also out of action, leaving only Gianluca Mancini and potentially outcast Federico Fazio fit to start on Sunday.
After an impressive midweek tour, Amadou Diawara is fighting for a place in the midfield, with Borja Mayoral and Edin Dzeko fighting for the central striker.
Benevento will be without both Gaetano letizia and Perparim Hetemaj, since they have not yet recovered from an injury, but, on the other hand, they have a fully fit team.
Nicolas Viola came to cover the suspensions of Arthur Ionita and Riccardo Improta in midfield last week and scored the tie, so I could keep a starting spot while Fabio Depaoli should continue in Letizia’s place on the side.
Loan signing Adolfo Gaich it is likely to be kept in reserve by Pippo Inzaghi, with Gianluca Lapadula, Gianluca Caprari and one of Roberto Insigne or ex-gypsy striker Iago Falque forming the attack trident for the home team.
Possible initial lineup of Benevento:
Montipo; Depaoli, Glik, Tuia, Barba; Ionita, Schiattarella, Viola; Insigne, Caprari; Lapadula
Possible initial Roma lineup:
Lopez; Mancini, Fazio, Spinazzola; Karsdorp, Villar, Veretout, Peres; Pellegrini, Mkhitaryan; Mayor
Probability: Benevento 1-3 Roma
Leaving aside defensive issues and midweek workload, there is a strong case for Roma to overthrow Benevento in Vigorito.
With its dynamic offensive unit and a reliable source of goals, Paulo Fonseca’s team is destined to dominate the flanks particularly against opponents in difficulty and can win to keep the pressure on Milan clubs just above them at the top of Serie A.
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