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Prediction: Penarol vs Sporting Cristal – Football Predictions

Check out our analysis, team news, line-ups and see our prediction for this match.

With a 3-1 lead from the first leg in Peru Penarol welcome Sporty Cristal on Wednesday evening at the Estadio Campeon del Siglo in Montevideo to look for a direct route to the semi-finals of the Copa Sudamericana.

The hosts have only lost one of their last 14 home games across all competitions, while the guests have been unbeaten for six away games.


Prediction for this match

With a two-goal cushion from the first leg, Penarol are well on their way to finishing the last four in the Copa Sudamericana for the first time in its history.

Mauricio Larriera‘s men raced into an early lead, with Agustin Alvarez‘s start in the eighth minute, followed shortly by a hit in the 19th minute of Facundo Torres.

Omar Merlo Cristal withdrew in the 90th minute, but Penarol still had time to restore their two-goal lead when Walter Gargano found the network in the fifth minute of stoppage time.

Since winning the first leg last weekend, Penarol celebrated a narrow 1-0 home win against Progreso in the Uruguayan top division, which moved the 50-time champions to third place in the table, five points behind leaders Plaza Colonia.

Penarol’s last continental triumph was in 1987 when they won the Copa Libertadores final against CD America. Since then, they have only reached the final of a major tournament once in 2011.

Larriera’s men are now closer to making their own story as they are only 90 minutes away from the first semi-finals in a decade.

Sporting Cristal still has a long way to go before reaching the bottom four of a major tournament for the second time in their history.

This is only the third year Los Cerveceros have competed in the Copa Sudamericana, with the quarter-finals being most advanced this season.

Despite the dominance of the first leg with 65% possession and eight shots on goal – more than double that of the opponents – the Peruvians are two goals behind. A more clinical presentation in front of goal is needed if they want to reduce the two-goal deficit on Wednesday.

Cristal goes into the second leg after another defeat, this time he lost 1-0 to Cesar Vallejo in the Peruvian top division. Roberto MosqueraThe men have now slipped to seventh place in the table, six points behind leaders Alianza Lima.

Moscheera cannot afford to see his team perform the same in the second leg against Penarol if they are to have a chance to advance to the next round.

Penarol Copa Sudamericana form:
  • W.
  • L.
  • D.
  • W.
  • L.
  • W.

Penarol form (all competitions):
  • L.
  • D.
  • W.
  • W.
  • W.
  • W.
Sporting Cristal Copa Sudamericana Form:
  • W.
  • D.
  • L.

Sporting Cristal Form (all competitions):
  • W.
  • D.
  • D.
  • W.
  • W.
  • L.


See all team news

Penarol players celebrate after their game against Nacional on July 22, 2021

Penarol winger Nicolas Schiappacasse (Knee) and goalkeeper Martin Correra (Muscle) are still excluded with injuries, and Torres is the latest name to join them on the treatment table after sustaining an ankle problem over the weekend.

After the departure of the central defender Fabricio Formiliano to Necaxa, Carlos Rodriguez is now expected to become a partner Gary Kagelmacher in the heart of the defense.

Striker Alvarez, who is currently the top scorer of the Copa Sudamericana with nine goals from eleven appearances, should start on the offensive and could be supported by wingers in the attack Agustin Canobbio and Valentin Rodriguez.

Sporting Cristal have excluded five first-team players with injuries. Christopher Oliveras and Emile Franco are both unavailable while with knee problems Tell Jesus aloud (paralyze), Marcos Riquelme (Muscle) and Nilson Loyola (Muscle) will also miss the first leg on Wednesday.

Gereld Tavara will keep his place in defensive midfield what Christofer Gonzales and Horacio Calcaterra Roaming license in the last third.

Alejandro Hohberg, who has scored 10 goals in 22 appearances so far this season, is expected to be on the left with Irven Avila to operate on the opposite flank.

Penarol possible starting line-up:
Dawson; Gonzalez, C. Rodriguez, Kagelmacher, Piquerez; Trindade; Canobbio, Gargano, Ceppelini, V. Rodriguez; Alvarez

Sporting Cristal possible starting line-up:
Duarte; Lora, Merlo, Chavez, Prado; Tavara; Avila, Calcaterra, Gonzales, Hohberg; Lisa


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Probability: Penarol 2-0 Sporting Cristal (5-1 overall)

Sporting Cristal need to get out of the blocks quickly and find the clinical advantage that has been lacking in their last two games if they are to level a two-goal deficit on Wednesday.

However, with Penarol in good shape, we believe the hosts will do enough to achieve a routine win to advance to the semi-finals.


Best betting tip for this match

Our expert tipster partners at footpredictions.com predict over 1.5 goals in this game. Click here to see more football predictions to see what else they are predicting for this game and for more proven soccer tips.Over 1.5: data


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